Thứ Ba, 4 tháng 10, 2011

Market review for 03.10.2011: : The default of Greece is a major concern.


Forex-Metal Daily Market Review and Technical Analysis

Daily review for 03.10, 2011

Market review for 03.10.2011: The default of Greece is a major concern.

 

Asian and European trading sessions:

Euro: Against the background of the dropped Asian stock markets, the euro demonstrated decrease as well.  The uncertainty around the decision regarding the European stability fund continued to pressure the euro on Monday.  Some of the European countries do not support the idea of the EFSF expansion, in particular, the Slovakian government is experiencing the split with this issue.

According to the expectations, the ECB would not increase the interest rates during the next meeting.

The released Euro-zone fundamentals did not render any support to the euro on Monday (even though the Euro-zone PMI indices turned out to be above expectations).

US Dollar: As a safe-heaven currency, the American dollar strengthened today.

Canadian Dollar: Canadian dollar decreased against the major currencies, as concerns over the world economic recession reinforced. Possibility for the commodities' prices drop grew, which pressured the Canadian dollar as well. 

Oil: Due to the possible default in Greece, oil prices dropped to their 8-week low today.

 

American trading session:

By the end of the trading day the EUR/USD dropped as low as the $1.3170 range. The threat of the Greek default became very real on Monday after the statement of the government of Greece regarding their inability to reduce expenses according to their agreement with foreign borrowers.  As a result,  investors started to get rid of the European assets.

The GBP/USD pair decreased as well and reached minimums at the $1.5450 range.

The USD/JPY pair dropped to the Y76.50 mark, as Japanese yen strengthened as a safe-heaven currency.

 

  

 


technical analysis for 04.10, 2011

 

EURUSD

The pair is trading near Fibonacci retracement 38% at 1.31186. This is a support level for the pair. MACD shows divergence signal and the pair may start corrections in a while.

Resistance:  1.33143, 1.34882, 1.35984

Support:  1.31674, 1.30277, 1.28630

GBPUSD

The pair may try to test Fibonacci retracement 23% at 1.53482 if stays below 1.54842.

Resistance:  1.54842, 1.56722, 1.58543

Support:  1.53482, 1.52063, 1.50594

USDCHF

The MACD shows divergence signal and the pair may start corrections if stays below 0.92026. The pair may decline to 0.91079.

Resistance:  0.92026, 0.93069, 0.93949

Support:  0.91079, 0.88418, 0.87214

USDJPY

If the pair stays below 76.463 the pair will decline to 75.425. If the pair stays above 76.463 the pair will rise to 77.539.  

Resistance: 77.539, 78.345, 79.070

Support:  76.463, 75.425, 74.414

AUDUSD

The pair has found temporary support at 0.94635 and trying to recover to 0.95611 and 0.96579.

Resistance:  0.95611, 0.96579, 0.97423

Support:  0.94635, 0.93493, 0.92284


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